MEMO from National Republican
MEMBERS OF CONGRESS AND CANDIDATES
CHAIRMAN PETE SESSIONS
DATE: AUGUST 4,
As Congress breaks for August recess, it’s clear
that Republicans have the momentum of victory. Now eight months into a
new Majority, Republicans have changed the debate in Washington and
demonstrated the ability to make tough decisions with the will to win
for the American people.
THE WILL TO WIN
House Republicans have
cut more spending than any Congress since World War II. Unlike
Democrats last Congress, we’ve passed a budget. We’ve delivered on our
promise to make the legislative process more transparent and
accountable to the people. We’ve passed over a dozen jobs bills to
empower small businesses, reduce regulatory burdens, provide tax relief
and promote real American energy solutions. Now the American
are waiting on the Senate and President Obama to support the same.
As Democrats have
fought for their failed tax, borrow and spend policies, Republicans
have proven the ability to lead and are well-positioned to stay on
offense for the 2012 election cycle.
DEMOCRATS’ AUGUST GAMEPLAN: DEMAGOGUERY
As Democrats tout “star” candidate recruits like
Alan Grayson, they are stooping to his level of demagoguery in
concerted attempts to mislead the American people:
President Joe Biden joined House Democrats in lashing tea party
Republicans Monday, accusing them of having “acted like terrorists” in
the fight over raising the nation’s debt limit.” (Jonathan Allen and John Bresnahan, “Biden:
And after falsely attacking concerned Americans as
“Astroturf” last Congress, Democrats are now launching Astroturf
campaigns operated and funded by left-wing interest groups during the
August recess. In addition to call campaigns and protests from
Organizing for America and MoveOn.org, liberal groups are buying ads in
an effort to purchase support for their failed agenda:
“A coalition of
groups is going on the air today with an 8-state, six-figure ad buy
slamming Republicans for threatening to put the country into default.
Americans United for Change, SEIU, AFSCME and the National Education
Association are teaming up for the buy, which runs through Monday.
(Emily Schultheis, Charles
Mahtesian and Dan Hirschhorn, “Progressives Hit Back on Debt Ceiling,”
Politico’s “Morning Score”, 7/29/2011)
WHERE ARE THE JOBS?
The American people have realized that
Democrat policies are having a negative impact on the economy and job
ding to polling released by
of voters say the Obama Administration has “made the economy
Why? Because they have. Since Democrats took
control of Washington, unemployment has risen from 7.8% to the current
9.2%. And with dismal economic growth estimates of only 0.4% and 1.3%
each quarter this year, 14 million unemployed Americans face a job
market mired in economic uncertainty.
With the big-spending “Stimulus” and “Recovery
Summer” campaigns bombing out, now Democrats are defaulting to style
over substance – even claiming that jobs aren’t that important.
“ ‘People won’t
vote based on the unemployment rate, they’re going to vote based on:
‘How do I feel about my own situation? Do I believe the president makes
decisions based on me and my family?’ … Plouffe said what voters really
want is ‘vision.’ ”
Mason, “Plouffe: It’s About Vision, Not Jobs,”
Unless a Democrat-controlled Washington starts
embracing policies for marketplace certainty and job creation,
Democrats will be surprised how many Americans ask them next election:
Where are the jobs?
THE UNPOPULAR PRESIDENT
The 2012 election will be driven by the top of the
ticket: Barack Obama. From government spending and the debt ceiling to
jobs and the economy, voters have seen a lack of leadership from
President Obama that no amount of charismatic speeches can
According to the
Gallup tracking poll
(7/26-28/2011), President Obama’s approval
rating hit a new low of 40%.
Democrats admit that they own the economy, and
American voters agree. Independents especially are fleeing President
Obama in droves. According to a
Quinnipiac University poll
(7/5-11/2011), 62% of Independent voters disapprove of President
Obama’s handling of the economy. No president has been re-elected with
9% unemployment since Franklin D. Roosevelt.
DEMOCRAT HEAD WINDS
The American people’s
astounding rejection of Democrats last election continues to
reverberate across the political spectrum. Democrats face significant
head winds in their drive to make Nancy Pelosi Speaker again.
consecutive wave elections, Republicans and Democrats have reached near
parity in the number of crossover seats. Under current signed
redistricting maps, 21 Republicans sit in Democrat-leaning seats and 20
Democrats in Republican-leaning seats – removing the key ingredient of
overextension required for another wave election.
Additionally, as the redistricting process rolls
across the nation, dozens of current Republican seats are becoming even
less competitive for Democrats.
BLUE DOG DEMISE
Blue Dog Democrats are a breed nearing extinction.
From the 2010 election, Blue Dogs lost over half their ranks, going
from 54 to 26. This Congress, four more have already thrown in the
towel: Jane Harman (D-CA), Joe Donnelly (D-IN), Dan Boren (D-OK) and
now Mike Ross (D-AR).
Many of the 22 remaining Blue Dogs face daunting
chances of survival as voters see that Blue Dogs bark moderate rhetoric
but run with a pack of pure-bred liberals led by Nancy Pelosi and
Barack Obama. Eight Blue Dogs opposed ObamaCare last Congress, but are
now on record voting against its repeal this Congress. All Blue Dogs
voted against cutting nearly $100 Billion below the President’s budget
request last February and the spending cuts in the Republican budget
Already, Republican candidates are lining up to
hold Democrats accountable for their liberal voting record, including
Andy Barr against Blue Dog Ben Chandler (D-KY). In 2012, Blue Dogs will
have no place to hide.
DEMOCRATS’ VERY LONG DRIVE TO MAKE NANCY PELOSI SPEAKER AGAIN
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s
“Drive for 24” this cycle is a far more grueling road than just 24
seats. With the national net result of redistricting likely plus
minus one or two for either party, Democrats must focus on overcoming
the “drainage” effect of Republicans picking up seats and making the
Democrat drive even longer. In the 1996 elections, Democrats picked up
20 Republican seats they needed to take back the majority but also lost
11 of their own open seats, resulting in a nine-seat deficit.
With Republicans on offense to take Democrat seats, the Cook
reaches this conclusion:
“Add it up and
Democrats would not only need to run the table on all the races in
their own Lean Democratic and Toss Up columns, but run the table on the
10 GOP seats in Toss Up and 15 GOP seats in Lean Republican to win back
the House. .... But the kind of gains Democrats and DCCC Chair Rep.
Steve Israel need aren't the kind that can be brought about by patching
together a few recruitment victories and solid fundraising months.”
Wasserman, National House Overview: July 2011, Cook Political Report,
Nevertheless, in the coming months Democrats’ hype
and hubris will continue to grow. Democrats underestimated the American
people last election, and they will do it again in 2012.
Only one party stands committed to listening to
the American people, and House Republicans know that it’s the key to
staying on offense and winning elections. So let’s win August, and then